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Past CMEs From 2014:

CME: 2014-12-20T00:48:00-CME-001

Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-12-22T14:28Z

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
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CME Note: associated to the X1.8 flare with peak time 2014-12-20T00:24Z. Shock arrival time verification still pending. Another shock was observed on 2014-12-23T10:33Z.

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-12-23T06:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	15.53	20.0	2014-12-20T21:42Z	40.77	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-12-22T05:00Z (-6.0h, +6.0h)	-9.47	----	2014-12-21T00:22Z	38.10	----	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC)	RWC Jeju (KSWC)	Detail
2014-12-22T10:00Z	-4.47	----	2014-12-21T12:11Z	26.28	Max Kp Range: -- - 6.0	Other (SIDC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-12-22T10:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	-4.47	----	2014-12-21T16:41Z	21.78	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Yaireska Collado (M2M Office)	Detail
2014-12-22T13:45Z	-0.72	20.0	---	---	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.33333	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-12-19T00:27:00-CME-001

Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-12-21T18:22Z

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 5.0
CME Note: assocaited with M6.9 flare with peak time2014-12-18T21:41Z. Shock arrival time verification still pending.

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-12-21T02:00Z	-16.37	----	2014-12-19T02:31Z	63.85	Max Kp Range: -- - 6.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)	Yaireska Collado (M2M Office)	Detail
2014-12-21T07:38Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	-10.73	----	2014-12-19T05:11Z	61.18	Max Kp Range: 6.0 - 8.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Karin Muglach (GSFC)	Detail
2014-12-21T13:00Z	-5.37	----	2014-12-19T05:40Z	60.70	----	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)	Met Office (Met Office)	Detail
2014-12-22T00:00Z	5.63	----	2014-12-19T12:29Z	53.88	----	Other (SIDC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-12-21T01:00Z	-17.37	80.0	2014-12-19T16:15Z	50.12	Max Kp Range: 5.0 - 8.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)	Met Office (Met Office)	Detail
2014-12-21T05:17Z (-4.3h, +6.0h)	-13.08	100.0	2014-12-19T20:00Z	46.37	Max Kp Range: 6.0 - 8.0	Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Anna Chulaki (M2M Office)	Detail
2014-12-21T07:00Z	-11.37	----	2014-12-21T00:29Z	17.88	----	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC)	RWC Jeju (KSWC)	Detail
2014-12-21T09:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	-9.37	----	2014-12-21T16:41Z	1.68	Max Kp Range: 6.0 - 8.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Yaireska Collado (M2M Office)	Detail
2014-12-21T08:36Z	-9.77	90.0	---	---	Max Kp Range: 5.75 - 7.6	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-12-17T05:00:00-CME-001

Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-12-21T04:13Z

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
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CME Note: CME is associated with M8.7 class flare that peaked around 2014-12-17T04:50Z. Shock arrival time verification still pending.

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-12-20T08:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	-20.22	----	2014-12-17T15:02Z	85.18	Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Yaireska Collado (M2M Office)	Detail
2014-12-19T20:00Z (-7.0h, +5.0h)	-32.22	70.0	2014-12-17T23:20Z	76.88	Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0	Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Karin Muglach (GSFC)	Detail
2014-12-19T13:00Z	-39.22	----	2014-12-18T00:33Z	75.67	Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 4.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)	Yaireska Collado (M2M Office)	Detail
2014-12-19T21:00Z	-31.22	----	2014-12-18T02:10Z	74.05	----	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)	Met Office (Met Office)	Detail
2014-12-20T15:00Z	-13.22	----	2014-12-18T21:29Z	54.73	Max Kp Range: -- - 5.0	Other (SIDC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-12-20T00:10Z	-28.05	70.0	---	---	Max Kp Range: 3.33333 - 5.25	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail
2014-12-19T20:00Z	-32.22	----	2014-12-21T00:27Z	3.77	----	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC)	RWC Jeju (KSWC)	Detail

CME: 2014-12-14T19:50:00-CME-001

This CME was not detected at Earth!

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
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CME Note: shock arrival time note: This is an initial analysis based upon limited data and may need amending.

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-12-17T06:00Z (-6.0h, +6.0h)		30.0	2014-12-15T05:45Z	48.25	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)	Met Office (Met Office)	Detail
2014-12-17T06:00Z		30.0	---	---	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-11-07T18:08:00-CME-001

Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-11-10T01:37Z

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
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Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-11-09T19:31Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	-6.10	----	2014-11-08T02:53Z	46.73	Max Kp Range: 6.0 - 8.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-11-10T05:00Z	3.38	----	2014-11-08T09:25Z	40.20	Max Kp Range: 5.0 - 7.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)	Met Office (Met Office)	Detail
2014-11-10T15:00Z (+9.0h)	13.38	----	2014-11-08T09:35Z	40.03	----	Other (SIDC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-11-10T06:00Z	4.38	----	2014-11-08T12:30Z	37.12	Max Kp Range: 5.0 - 6.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-11-09T20:59Z (-8.0h, +4.8h)	-4.63	100.0	2014-11-08T13:45Z	35.87	Max Kp Range: 6.0 - 7.0	Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-11-10T03:42Z	2.08	100.0	---	---	Max Kp Range: 5.5 - 7.0	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-11-01T05:12:00-CME-001

Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-11-03T22:27Z

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
CME Note: Large filament in SDO ~04:20Z

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-11-03T17:50Z	-4.62	----	2014-11-02T13:32Z	32.92	----	Other (SIDC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-11-03T08:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	-14.45	10.0	2014-11-02T23:39Z	22.80	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-11-03T12:55Z	-9.53	10.0	---	---	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-10-29T14:24:00-CME-001

This CME was not detected at Earth!

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
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CME Note: source is probably a filament eruption seen on disk in SDO starting ~09:00, in the south, long filament in E-W direction.

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-11-02T06:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	----	5.0	2014-10-30T01:59Z	76.02	----	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-11-02T06:00Z	----	5.0	---	---	----	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-10-10T16:00:00-CME-001

This CME was not detected at Earth!

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
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Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-10-13T18:00Z	----	----	2014-10-10T19:55Z	70.08	----	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)	Met Office (Met Office)	Detail
2014-10-13T18:00Z	----	----	---	---	----	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-10-02T22:00:00-CME-001

This CME was not detected at Earth!

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-10-06T14:00Z	----	----	2014-10-03T04:00Z	82.00	----	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)	Met Office (Met Office)	Detail
2014-10-06T14:00Z	----	----	---	---	----	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-09-29T22:00:00-CME-001

This CME was not detected at Earth!

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
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Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-10-01T20:00Z	----	3.0	2014-09-30T02:37Z	41.38	Dst min. in nT: -38 Dst min. time: 2014-10-01T23:59Z	Anemomilos	WKent Tobiska (SET SWD)	Detail
2014-10-01T20:00Z	----	3.0	---	---	----	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-09-28T02:58:00-CME-001

This CME was not detected at Earth!

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
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Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-09-30T18:00Z	----	69.0	2014-09-28T04:45Z	61.25	Dst min. in nT: -31 Dst min. time: 2014-09-30T22:00Z	Anemomilos	WKent Tobiska (SET SWD)	Detail
2014-09-30T18:00Z	----	69.0	---	---	----	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-09-10T18:24:00-CME-001

Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-09-12T15:26Z

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 7.0
Dst min. in nT: -87
Dst min. time: 2014-09-13T00:00Z
CME Note: Associated with X1.6 flare (2014-09-10T17:21Z)

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-09-12T11:47Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	-3.65	----	2014-09-11T01:21Z	38.08	Max Kp Range: 6.0 - 8.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-09-13T20:37Z (-13.4h, +1.1h)	29.18	55.0	2014-09-11T01:51Z	37.58	Max Kp Range: -- - 8.0	COMESEP	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-09-12T13:00Z	-2.43	----	2014-09-11T03:23Z	36.05	Max Kp Range: -- - 7.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-09-12T13:39Z (-9.4h, +8.0h)	-1.78	100.0	2014-09-11T03:58Z	35.47	Max Kp Range: 6.0 - 8.0	Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-09-13T05:00Z	13.57	----	2014-09-11T08:30Z	30.93	----	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC)	RWC Jeju (KSWC)	Detail
2014-09-12T21:00Z	5.57	----	2014-09-11T09:40Z	29.77	Max Kp Range: 6.0 - 8.0	Other (SIDC)	Andy Devos (SIDC)	Detail
2014-09-12T15:00Z (-6.0h, +6.0h)	-0.43	100.0	2014-09-11T20:25Z	19.02	----	SAO Crowdsource	Michael Stevens (SAO)	Detail
2014-09-12T14:00Z	-1.43	----	2014-09-12T10:58Z	4.47	Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 7.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)	Met Office (Met Office)	Detail
2014-09-12T20:15Z	4.82	85.0	---	---	Max Kp Range: 5.5 - 7.66667	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-09-09T00:16:00-CME-001

Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-09-11T22:56Z

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 5.0
Dst min. in nT: -31
Dst min. time: 2014-09-13T03:00Z
CME Note: Associated with M4.6 flare (2014-09-08T23:12Z).

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-09-11T20:26Z (-11.7h, +11.7h)	-2.50	57.0	2014-09-09T11:50Z	59.10	----	SAO Crowdsource	Michael Stevens (SAO)	Detail
2014-09-12T03:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h)	4.07	----	2014-09-09T12:35Z	58.35	Max Kp Range: 5.0 - --	Other (SIDC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-09-11T16:42Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	-6.23	----	2014-09-09T13:01Z	57.92	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-09-11T23:00Z	0.07	----	2014-09-09T17:23Z	53.55	Max Kp Range: -- - 6.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-09-11T19:29Z (-11.8h, +12.7h)	-3.45	100.0	2014-09-09T18:42Z	52.23	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 7.0	Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-09-11T21:19Z	-1.62	78.5	---	---	Max Kp Range: 3.66667 - 6.0	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-09-02T16:00:00-CME-001

Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-09-06T04:33Z

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 3.0
Dst min. in nT: -26
Dst min. time: 2014-09-07T03:00Z

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-09-06T01:00Z (-6.0h, +6.0h)	-3.55	----	2014-09-03T02:00Z	74.55	----	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC)	RWC Jeju (KSWC)	Detail
2014-09-06T12:00Z	7.45	----	2014-09-03T12:30Z	64.05	Max Kp Range: -- - 4.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-09-05T08:52Z (-8.9h, +15.2h)	-19.68	100.0	2014-09-03T19:32Z	57.02	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 6.0	Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Yaireska Collado (M2M Office)	Detail
2014-09-05T23:17Z	-5.27	100.0	---	---	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-08-25T15:01:00-CME-001

This CME was not detected at Earth!

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
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Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-08-28T01:00Z (-6.0h, +6.0h)	----	----	2014-08-26T02:00Z	47.00	----	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC)	RWC Jeju (KSWC)	Detail
2014-08-28T18:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	----	----	2014-08-26T04:34Z	61.43	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-08-28T18:00Z (-6.0h, +6.0h)	----	----	2014-08-26T05:54Z	60.10	----	Other (SIDC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-08-28T12:20Z	----	----	---	---	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-08-22T06:28:00-CME-001

Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-08-27T00:00Z

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 5.0
Dst min. in nT: -76
Dst min. time: 2014-08-27T18:00Z

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-08-25T23:01Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	-24.98	----	2014-08-22T18:45Z	101.25	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-08-25T23:54Z (-5.8h, +4.6h)	-24.10	100.0	2014-08-22T23:42Z	96.30	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 6.0	Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-08-25T09:00Z (-6.0h, +6.0h)	-39.00	----	2014-08-23T09:58Z	86.03	----	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC)	RWC Jeju (KSWC)	Detail
2014-08-27T00:00Z	0.00	----	2014-08-23T10:33Z	85.45	----	Other (SIDC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-08-26T12:00Z	-12.00	----	2014-08-23T12:30Z	83.50	Max Kp Range: -- - 4.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-08-26T03:59Z	-20.02	100.0	---	---	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-08-15T21:12:00-CME-001

Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-08-19T05:58Z

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
CME Note: This CME is associated with a filament eruption taking place at central meridian starting ~2014-08-15T17:00

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-08-19T00:00Z	-5.97	----	2014-08-16T01:17Z	76.68	----	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC)	RWC Jeju (KSWC)	Detail
2014-08-18T08:30Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	-21.47	----	2014-08-16T03:52Z	74.10	Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-08-19T12:00Z	6.03	----	2014-08-16T12:30Z	65.47	Max Kp Range: -- - 5.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-08-19T18:00Z (-6.0h, +6.0h)	12.03	----	2014-08-16T13:20Z	64.63	----	Other (SIDC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-08-18T07:36Z (-11.3h, +11.3h)	-22.37	75.0	2014-08-17T15:02Z	38.93	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 8.0	Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-08-18T23:37Z	-6.35	75.0	---	---	Max Kp Range: 3.5 - 6.33333	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-08-01T18:36:00-CME-001

This CME was not detected at Earth!

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
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Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-08-04T05:00Z	----	----	2014-08-02T02:00Z	51.00	----	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC)	RWC Jeju (KSWC)	Detail
2014-08-04T15:00Z	----	----	2014-08-02T12:35Z	50.42	----	Other (SIDC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-08-04T10:00Z	----	----	---	---	----	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-08-01T12:00:00-CME-001

This CME was not detected at Earth!

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
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CME Note: Filament eruption

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-08-03T20:30Z (-6.0h, +6.0h)	----	----	2014-08-01T19:10Z	49.33	----	DBM	Manuela Temmer (UNIGRAZ)	Detail
2014-08-03T20:30Z	----	----	---	---	----	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-07-30T07:00:00-CME-001

This CME was not detected at Earth!

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
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CME Note: This CME did not appear to arrive at Earth. A high speed stream signature was observed at ACE 2014-08-01 to 08-03.

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-08-02T04:28Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	----	----	2014-07-30T17:43Z	58.75	Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 5.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-08-02T12:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h)	----	----	2014-07-30T18:36Z	65.40	----	Other (SIDC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-08-01T14:34Z (-10.3h, +17.0h)	----	75.0	2014-07-30T21:00Z	41.57	Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 6.0	Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-08-02T18:00Z	----	----	2014-07-31T00:30Z	65.50	Max Kp Range: -- - 4.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-08-02T03:00Z	----	----	2014-08-01T00:46Z	26.23	----	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC)	RWC Jeju (KSWC)	Detail
2014-08-01T22:00Z	----	----	2014-08-01T13:54Z	8.10	----	Expansion Speed Prediction Model	Alisson Dallago (INPE)	Detail
2014-08-02T04:20Z	----	75.0	---	---	Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 5.0	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-07-09T19:00:00-CME-001

This CME was not detected at Earth!

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-07-13T04:00Z	----	----	2014-07-10T02:00Z	74.00	----	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC)	RWC Jeju (KSWC)	Detail
2014-07-13T01:23Z	----	----	---	---	Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail
2014-07-12T22:46Z	----	----	2014-07-18T15:55Z	-137.15	Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Jenna Zink (GMU)	Detail

CME: 2014-07-08T16:15:00-CME-001

This CME was not detected at Earth!

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-07-12T13:00Z	----	----	2014-07-09T08:50Z	76.17	----	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC)	RWC Jeju (KSWC)	Detail
2014-07-12T11:00Z	----	----	---	---	Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 4.0	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail
2014-07-12T09:00Z	----	----	2014-07-18T15:55Z	-150.92	Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 4.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Jenna Zink (GMU)	Detail

CME: 2014-06-25T12:54:00-CME-001

Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-06-29T18:00Z

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
CME Note: Source region seen in AIA 193. Large filament like eruption stretching from disk center towards NE limb starting around 2014-06-25T08:45Z [-DK] CME arrival could be 2014-06-29T18:00Z or it could be the arrival of the later CME which started at the Sun around 2014-06-26T01:25Z.

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-06-28T14:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	-28.00	20.0	2014-06-26T14:15Z	75.75	Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 4.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-06-28T14:00Z	-28.00	20.0	---	---	Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 4.0	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-06-20T12:24:00-CME-001

This CME was not detected at Earth!

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-06-24T12:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h)	----	----	2014-06-21T14:22Z	69.63	Max Kp Range: -- - 5.0	Other (SIDC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-06-24T20:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	----	----	2014-06-21T19:36Z	72.40	Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 3.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-06-24T11:00Z	----	----	2014-06-22T02:00Z	57.00	----	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC)	RWC Jeju (KSWC)	Detail
2014-06-24T14:20Z	----	----	---	---	Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 4.0	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-06-19T19:24:00-CME-001

Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-06-23T22:00Z

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-06-22T18:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	-28.00	----	2014-06-20T00:18Z	93.70	Max Kp Range: 5.0 - 6.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-06-22T15:00Z	-31.00	----	2014-06-20T01:22Z	92.63	Max Kp Range: -- - 5.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-06-24T00:00Z (-6.0h, +6.0h)	2.00	----	2014-06-20T08:32Z	85.47	----	Other (SIDC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-06-22T07:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	-39.00	----	2014-06-20T15:00Z	79.00	----	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)	Met Office (Met Office)	Detail
2014-06-22T21:00Z (-2.0h, +2.0h)	-25.00	----	2014-06-20T21:38Z	72.37	Max Kp Range: 0.7 - 1.0 Dst min. in nT: -18 Dst min. time: 2014-06-23T02:00Z	Rice-ENLIL Dst	Ramkumar Bala (Rice)	Detail
2014-06-22T16:12Z (-5.4h, +7.6h)	-29.80	----	2014-06-20T22:59Z	71.02	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 7.0	Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-06-23T00:00Z	-22.00	----	2014-06-21T02:00Z	68.00	----	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC)	RWC Jeju (KSWC)	Detail
2014-06-22T21:18Z	-24.70	----	---	---	Max Kp Range: 2.9 - 4.75	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-06-12T22:12:00-CME-001

Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-06-17T05:40Z

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 3.0

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-06-15T06:00Z (-6.0h, +6.0h)	-47.67	----	2014-06-13T13:00Z	88.67	----	Other (SIDC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-06-16T06:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	-23.67	----	2014-06-13T18:45Z	82.92	----	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Anna Chulaki (M2M Office)	Detail
2014-06-15T18:00Z	-35.67	----	---	---	----	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-06-10T13:09:00-CME-001

This CME was not detected at Earth!

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-06-13T16:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	----	----	2014-06-10T18:47Z	69.22	Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 4.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-06-15T12:24Z (-28.0h, +31.5h)	----	----	2014-06-10T19:49Z	112.58	Max Kp Range: -- - 7.0	COMESEP	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-06-13T06:00Z (-6.0h, +6.0h)	----	----	2014-06-10T21:26Z	56.57	----	Other (SIDC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-06-14T09:02Z (-9.5h, +18.63h)	----	----	2014-06-11T10:49Z	70.22	Max Kp Range: -- - 5.0	COMESEP	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-06-12T20:28Z (-3.07h, +3.07h)	----	----	2014-06-11T14:59Z	29.48	Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 7.0	Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-06-13T10:00Z	----	----	2014-06-12T17:25Z	16.58	Max Kp Range: -- - 4.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-06-13T12:00Z	----	----	2014-06-12T20:06Z	15.90	----	WSA-ENLIL + Cone	Met Office (Met Office)	Detail
2014-06-13T19:07Z	----	----	---	---	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.4	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-06-04T13:25:00-CME-001

Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-06-07T16:09Z

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 6.0

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-06-08T00:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	7.85	----	2014-06-05T18:16Z	45.88	----	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-06-07T20:56Z (-6.82h, +8.1h)	4.78	----	2014-06-05T20:10Z	43.98	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 6.0	Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-06-07T22:28Z	6.32	----	---	---	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 6.0	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-04-21T20:02:00-CME-001

This CME was not detected at Earth!

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-04-24T16:30Z (-13.0h, +13.0h)	----	----	2014-04-22T18:00Z	46.50	----	SAO Crowdsource	Michael Stevens (SAO)	Detail
2014-04-24T16:30Z	----	----	---	---	----	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-04-18T13:09:00-CME-001

Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-04-20T10:22Z

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 5.0
Dst min. in nT: -26
Dst min. time: 2014-04-21T04:00Z

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-04-20T13:00Z	2.63	----	2014-04-18T19:23Z	38.98	Max Kp Range: -- - 5.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-04-21T12:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h)	25.63	----	2014-04-18T20:02Z	38.33	Max Kp Range: -- - 6.0	Other (SIDC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-04-20T05:07Z (-4.03h, +6.13h)	-5.25	----	2014-04-18T21:06Z	37.27	Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 8.0	Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Karin Muglach (GSFC)	Detail
2014-04-20T09:09Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	-1.22	----	2014-04-18T21:37Z	36.75	Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Karin Muglach (GSFC)	Detail
2014-04-20T15:49Z	5.45	----	---	---	Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.25	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-04-02T13:55:00-CME-001

Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-04-05T09:40Z

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 4.0

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-04-04T09:21Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	-24.32	----	2014-04-02T22:27Z	59.22	Max Kp Range: 5.0 - 7.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-04-04T19:01Z (-10.0h, +6.3h)	-14.65	----	2014-04-03T03:21Z	54.32	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 7.0	Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-04-05T10:00Z	0.33	----	2014-04-03T07:27Z	50.22	----	WSA-ENLIL + Cone	RWC Jeju (KSWC)	Detail
2014-04-05T00:00Z (-9.0h)	-9.67	----	2014-04-03T12:23Z	45.28	Max Kp Range: -- - 5.0	Other (SIDC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-04-05T00:04Z	-9.60	----	---	---	Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.33333	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail
2014-04-05T10:00Z	0.33	----	2014-04-03T22:35Z	35.08	Dst min. in nT: -158 Dst min. time: 2014-04-05T13:00Z	Anemomilos	WKent Tobiska (SET SWD)	Detail

CME: 2014-04-01T17:00:00-CME-001

Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-04-05T09:40Z

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 4.0

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-04-05T12:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h)	2.33	----	2014-04-02T10:37Z	71.05	----	Other (SIDC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-04-05T04:50Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	-4.83	----	2014-04-02T15:00Z	66.67	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-04-05T03:00Z	-6.67	----	2014-04-03T00:30Z	57.17	Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 5.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-04-05T06:36Z	-3.07	----	---	---	Max Kp Range: 3.5 - 5.0	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-03-30T12:24:00-CME-001

This CME was not detected at Earth!

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-04-02T06:00Z	----	----	2014-03-31T00:30Z	53.50	Max Kp Range: -- - 5.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-04-03T00:00Z	----	----	2014-03-31T09:09Z	62.85	----	Other (SIDC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-04-02T00:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	----	----	2014-03-31T16:43Z	31.28	Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 3.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-04-02T10:00Z	----	----	---	---	Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 4.0	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-03-29T18:39:00-CME-001

This CME was not detected at Earth!

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-04-02T00:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	----	----	2014-03-29T23:45Z	72.25	----	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-04-02T06:00Z	----	----	2014-03-31T00:30Z	53.50	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 4.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-04-01T21:00Z	----	----	2014-03-31T02:37Z	42.38	----	WSA-ENLIL + Cone	RWC Jeju (KSWC)	Detail
2014-04-02T04:30Z	----	----	2014-03-31T15:00Z	37.50	----	Other (SIDC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-04-02T06:27Z	----	----	2014-03-31T16:22Z	38.08	----	Expansion Speed Prediction Model	Alisson Dallago (INPE)	Detail
2014-04-01T21:30Z (-1.0h, +1.0h)	----	----	2014-04-01T22:49Z	-1.32	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 4.0	Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-04-02T01:54Z	----	----	---	---	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 4.0	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-03-28T23:58:00-CME-001

This CME was not detected at Earth!

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-04-01T05:00Z	----	----	2014-03-29T12:34Z	64.43	----	Other (SIDC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-04-01T15:00Z	----	----	2014-03-30T00:30Z	62.50	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 4.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-04-01T12:00Z	----	----	2014-03-30T04:09Z	55.85	----	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-04-01T10:40Z	----	----	---	---	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 4.0	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-03-23T04:09:00-CME-001

Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-03-25T19:25Z

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 4.0

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-03-25T18:31Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	-0.90	----	2014-03-23T20:33Z	46.87	Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-03-26T00:00Z	4.58	----	2014-03-24T00:30Z	42.92	Max Kp Range: -- - 4.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-03-26T00:00Z	4.58	----	2014-03-24T12:55Z	30.50	Max Kp Range: -- - 5.0	Other (SIDC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-03-25T22:10Z	2.75	----	---	---	Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 5.0	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-02-25T01:25:00-CME-001

Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-02-27T16:10Z

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 6.0

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-02-26T12:15Z	-27.92	----	2014-02-25T20:28Z	43.70	----	Expansion Speed Prediction Model	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-02-26T22:15Z (-11.27h, +20.72h)	-17.92	----	2014-02-25T23:03Z	41.12	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 6.0	Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-02-26T22:00Z	-18.17	----	2014-02-26T00:30Z	39.67	Max Kp Range: -- - 4.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-02-27T00:00Z	-16.17	----	2014-02-26T13:19Z	26.85	----	Other (SIDC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-02-26T20:07Z	-20.05	----	---	---	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-02-19T16:00:00-CME-001

Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-02-23T06:00Z

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 4.0

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-02-22T11:26Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	-18.57	----	2014-02-20T01:14Z	76.77	Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-02-23T01:00Z	-5.00	----	2014-02-20T09:37Z	68.38	----	Other (SIDC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-02-23T00:00Z	-6.00	----	2014-02-20T12:30Z	65.50	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 4.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-02-22T12:20Z (-12.58h, +13.18h)	-17.67	----	2014-02-20T15:30Z	62.50	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0	Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-02-22T18:11Z	-11.82	----	---	---	Max Kp Range: 3.33333 - 5.0	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-02-18T01:25:00-CME-001

Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-02-20T02:50Z

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 6.0
Dst min. in nT: -86
Dst min. time: 2014-02-20T13:00Z

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-02-20T20:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h)	17.17	----	2014-02-18T10:05Z	40.75	----	Other (SIDC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-02-21T01:05Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	22.25	----	2014-02-18T20:38Z	30.20	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-02-20T16:29Z (-28.73h, +17.65h)	13.65	----	2014-02-18T20:46Z	30.07	Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 6.0	Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-02-21T00:00Z	21.17	----	2014-02-19T00:30Z	26.33	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 4.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-02-20T21:23Z	18.55	----	---	---	Max Kp Range: 2.66667 - 5.0	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-02-12T05:48:00-CME-001

Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-02-15T12:35Z

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 5.0

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-02-14T10:38Z	-25.95	----	2014-02-12T19:27Z	65.13	----	SARM	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-02-14T19:06Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	-17.48	----	2014-02-12T19:51Z	64.73	Max Kp Range: 5.0 - 7.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-02-15T12:00Z	-0.58	----	2014-02-12T23:03Z	61.53	----	Other (SIDC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-02-14T18:00Z (-6.0h, +6.0h)	-18.58	----	2014-02-13T00:30Z	60.08	Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-02-14T23:47Z (-8.65h, +13.23h)	-12.80	----	2014-02-13T02:33Z	58.03	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 6.0	Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-02-14T21:30Z	-15.08	----	---	---	Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.33333	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-02-04T01:25:00-CME-001

Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-02-07T16:16Z

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 5.0
Dst min. in nT: -37
Dst min. time: 2014-02-09T07:00Z

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-02-07T18:00Z	1.73	----	2014-02-04T13:11Z	75.08	Max Kp Range: -- - 4.0	Other (SIDC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-02-07T00:38Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	-15.63	----	2014-02-05T00:25Z	63.85	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-02-07T09:00Z	-7.27	----	2014-02-05T01:42Z	62.57	----	WSA-ENLIL + Cone	RWC Jeju (KSWC)	Detail
2014-02-06T20:39Z (-18.0h, +23.0h)	-19.62	----	2014-02-05T02:38Z	61.63	Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 5.0	Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-02-07T06:04Z	-10.20	----	---	---	Max Kp Range: 2.5 - 4.66667	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-01-31T16:34:00-CME-001

This CME was not detected at Earth!

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-02-04T17:00Z	----	----	2014-02-01T11:25Z	77.58	Max Kp Range: -- - 3.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-02-03T16:42Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	----	----	2014-02-01T13:45Z	50.95	Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-02-03T17:20Z (-6.0h, +9.1h)	----	----	2014-02-02T02:44Z	38.60	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 6.0	Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-02-04T01:00Z	----	----	---	---	Max Kp Range: 3.5 - 5.0	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-01-30T16:24:00-CME-001

Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-02-02T23:18Z

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 2.0

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-02-02T12:00Z	-11.30	----	2014-01-30T21:49Z	73.48	----	Other (SIDC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-02-02T07:49Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	-15.48	----	2014-01-31T05:09Z	66.15	Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-02-04T02:28Z (-40.0h, +80.0h)	27.17	----	2014-01-31T08:16Z	63.03	----	COMESEP	Andy Devos (SIDC)	Detail
2014-02-02T05:44Z (-11.4h, +10.0h)	-17.57	----	2014-01-31T15:47Z	55.52	Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0	Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-02-02T04:00Z	-19.30	----	2014-01-31T17:22Z	53.93	Max Kp Range: -- - 5.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-02-02T16:00Z	-7.30	----	---	---	Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 5.66667	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-01-14T10:24:00-CME-001

Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-01-18T18:07Z

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 1.0

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-01-16T21:09Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	-44.97	----	2014-01-14T17:41Z	96.43	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-01-17T13:00Z	-29.12	----	2014-01-14T19:43Z	94.40	Max Kp Range: -- - 4.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-01-18T12:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h)	-6.12	----	2014-01-15T10:41Z	79.43	----	Other (SIDC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-01-17T15:23Z	-26.73	----	---	---	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 4.5	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-01-07T18:24:00-CME-001

Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-01-09T19:32Z

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 3.0

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-01-09T19:26Z (-10.0h, +10.0h)	-0.10	----	2014-01-07T21:00Z	46.53	----	STOA	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-01-09T00:38Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	-18.90	----	2014-01-08T00:41Z	42.85	Max Kp Range: 6.0 - 8.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-01-09T08:00Z	-11.53	----	2014-01-08T01:31Z	42.02	Max Kp Range: 6.0 - 7.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-01-08T22:00Z	-21.53	----	2014-01-08T03:17Z	40.25	Dst min. in nT: -146 Dst min. time: 2014-01-09T11:00Z	Anemomilos	WKent Tobiska (SET SWD)	Detail
2014-01-09T00:17Z (-6.9h, +9.2h)	-19.25	----	2014-01-08T04:11Z	39.35	Max Kp Range: 6.0 - 8.0	Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-01-09T04:30Z (-2.5h, +2.5h)	-15.03	----	2014-01-08T05:02Z	38.50	Max Kp Range: 5.0 - 8.0	Other (SIDC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-01-08T12:30Z	-31.03	----	2014-01-08T05:58Z	37.57	----	ESA	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-01-09T12:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	-7.53	----	2014-01-08T06:32Z	37.00	----	WSA-ENLIL + Cone	RWC Jeju (KSWC)	Detail
2014-01-09T04:00Z (-6.0h, +6.0h)	-15.53	----	2014-01-08T09:42Z	33.83	----	DBM	Manuela Temmer (UNIGRAZ)	Detail
2014-01-10T04:04Z (-16.0h, +36.0h)	8.53	----	2014-01-08T14:56Z	28.60	Max Kp Range: 8.0 - 8.0 Dst min. in nT: -300	COMESEP	Andy Devos (SIDC)	Detail
2014-01-09T08:02Z	-11.50	----	2014-01-08T16:37Z	26.92	----	Expansion Speed Prediction Model	Alisson Dallago (INPE)	Detail
2014-01-09T02:00Z	-17.53	----	2014-01-08T17:53Z	25.65	Max Kp Range: 8.0 - 9.0	BHV	Volker Bothmer (UGOE)	Detail
2014-01-09T01:00Z	-18.53	----	2014-01-08T23:00Z	20.53	Dst min. in nT: -142 Dst min. time: 2014-01-09T12:00Z	Anemomilos	WKent Tobiska (SET SWD)	Detail
2014-01-09T13:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	-6.53	----	2014-01-08T23:17Z	20.25	Max Kp Range: 6.0 - 8.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone	Duty Forecaster (ASWFC)	Detail
2014-01-09T11:22Z (-11.7h, +9.1h)	-8.17	----	2014-01-09T18:57Z	0.58	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0	Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-01-09T06:35Z	-12.95	----	---	---	Max Kp Range: 6.0 - 7.625	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

CME: 2014-01-04T21:25:00-CME-001

Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-01-07T14:26Z

Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----

Predicted Shock Arrival Time	Difference (hrs)	Confidence (%)	Submitted On	Lead Time (hrs)	Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s)	Method	Submitted By
2014-01-08T00:00Z	9.57	----	2014-01-05T12:27Z	49.98	----	Other (SIDC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-01-07T16:03Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)	1.62	----	2014-01-05T16:56Z	45.50	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-01-07T12:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h)	-2.43	----	2014-01-05T23:30Z	38.93	----	Other (ips.gov.au)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-01-07T08:00Z	-6.43	----	2014-01-06T19:26Z	19.00	Max Kp Range: -- - 5.0	WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)	Leila Mays (GSFC)	Detail
2014-01-07T15:00Z	0.57	----	---	---	Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0	Average of all Methods	Auto Generated (CCMC)	Detail

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